September 18, 2007

Mark Bowden, author of “Black Hawk Down,” warned Americans in the Aug. 30, 2002, Los Angeles Times of 60,000 to 100,000 dead American troops if we invaded Iraq — comparing an Iraq war to Vietnam and a Russian battle in Chechnya. He said Iraqis would fight the Americans “tenaciously” and raised the prospect of Saddam using weapons of mass destruction against our troops, an attack on Israel “and possibly in the United States.”

On Sept. 14, 2002, The New York Times’ Frank Rich warned of another al-Qaida attack in the U.S. if we invaded Iraq, noting that since “major al-Qaida attacks are planned well in advance and have historically been separated by intervals of 12 to 24 months, we will find out how much we’ve been distracted soon enough.”

This week makes it six years since a major al-Qaida attack. I guess we weren’t distracted. But it looks like al-Qaida has been.

For most of 2003, they said the war was a failure because we hadn’t captured Saddam Hussein. Then we captured Saddam, and Democratic presidential candidate Howard Dean complained that “the capture of Saddam has not made America safer.” (On the other hand, Howard Dean’s failure to be elected president definitely made America safer.)

Next, liberals said the war was a failure because we hadn’t captured Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. Then we killed al-Zarqawi and a half-dozen of his aides in an air raid. Then they said the war was a failure because … you get the picture.